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Holiday shopping: What will they think of next?

This article was published in the January 2008 South Dakota e-Labor Bulletin.

Turkey Thursday … Black Friday … Cyber Monday … Green Monday … What will retailers think of next? With so much holiday marketing, even the Grinch wouldn’t be able to pass up those bargains!  

Are all of these newly-coined holiday shopping days making your head spin? You are probably in the majority if you are not even sure what a few of them are and whether they actually exist. Most of us think of Turkey Thursday as the traditional Thanksgiving Day, a time spent at home with family and friends eating excessively and watching football. However, it is now emerging as a “pre-shopping” day to get a jump on the mad holiday rush. Retailers are opening earlier and earlier every year, worried that the housing-market meltdown, credit crunch, and higher food and fuel prices will crimp consumer spending.

Let’s move on to the infamous Black Friday. According to Wikipedia (the online encyclopedia), Black Friday is the day after Thanksgiving in the United States, marking the kick-off of the traditional retail season. Black Friday was so named because of the heavy traffic on that day and was an implicit comparison to extremely stressful experiences such as Black Tuesday (the 1929 stock-market crash) or other dark days in history. However, most contemporary uses of the name refer instead to a profitable business period, harkening back to when accounting records were recorded in red for loss and black for profit.

Black Friday is the busiest shopping day of the year in terms of customer traffic. Although it is the day with the largest number of shoppers traipsing through the stores, it is not necessarily the biggest day of the year in terms of dollars spent. The image of shoulder-to-shoulder crowds rushing around grabbing bargains makes many choose to stay home and avoid the hectic shopping experience. 

This brings us to Cyber Monday. This holiday shopping day was invented in 2005 by the National Retail Federation’s online division, Shop.org, to create a marketing buzz around online shopping. It is the Monday immediately following Black Friday, when online retailers, offering special promotions and low prices, see a surge in online purchasing. For those who avoided the crowds on the previous weekend, who did not grab all the bargains they wanted or who are just looking for more great buys, shopping in the privacy of their own home or office has a certain appeal. 

Similar to Black Friday, Cyber Monday is touted as the busiest online shopping day of the year, with more than 4.6 million online visitors a minute. However, it does not generate the biggest online sales, although 2007 sales totaled more than $700 million. 

Finally, our newest shopping holiday is Green Monday. eBay, Inc. and its companies recently named this second Monday in December as the heaviest online shopping day of the season. No, this is not a day of eco-friendly purchasing. The name refers to the economic impact, rather than an environmental one. With total online sales of more than $880 million, Green Monday definitely has a big economic impact for retailers.

Table 1
United States Non-Travel (Retail) Spending*
2007 vs. 2006 Full Holiday Season
(November 1 – December 31)

Holiday Season to Date

Billions ($)

2006

2007

Percent Change

November 1 – December 31

$24.57

$29.17

19%

Thanksgiving Day (November 22)

$0.21

$0.27

29%

Black Friday (November 23)

$0.43

$0.53

22%

Cyber Monday (November 26)

$0.61

$0.73

21%

Green Monday (December 10)

$0.66

$0.88

33%

*Excludes auctions and large corporate purchases.

Source: comScore, Inc.

While the above figures reflect national data, South Dakota also sees a large increase in holiday spending. Taxable retail sales reported to South Dakota’s Department of Revenue and Regulation increased nearly 25 percent from the 2006 to the 2007 holiday reporting periods. 

The graph below and Table 2 show the percent change in reported taxable sales figures for retail trade in South Dakota. Usually the largest increases of each year are due to holiday spending in December, with other sizable increases during the summer tourism months. 

Table 2
South Dakota Taxable Sales - Retail Trade
by Month

Month

Taxable Sales
Retail Trade

Percent Change

October-05

$636,917,801

 

November-05

$644,505,733

1%

December-05

$809,729,039

26%

January-06

$565,800,628

-30%

February-06

$555,650,857

-2%

March-06

$605,230,522

9%

April-06

$618,040,509

2%

May-06

$671,004,222

9%

June-06

$645,617,059

-4%

July-06

$755,096,400

17%

August-06

$731,700,956

-3%

September-06

$704,176,719

-4%

October-06

$668,436,833

-5%

November-06

$656,268,157

-2%

December-06

$813,050,732

24%

January-07

$581,144,062

-29%

Source: SD Department of Revenue and Regulation

Table 3 breaks down the taxable sales for the 2006 holiday period into various sales categories.  

Table 3
South Dakota
Retail Trade Returns Filed in January 2007,
Reflecting Taxable Sales for December 2006

Retail Trade Division

Taxable Sales

52 Building Materials & Garden Supplies

5211 Lumber & Other Building Materials

$71,481,405

5231 Paint, Glass, & Wallpaper Stores

$2,113,083

5251 Hardware Stores

$9,447,890

5261 Retail Nurseries & Garden Stores

$1,862,010

5271 Mobile Home Dealers

$327,997

Total for Major Group 52

$85,232,385

53 General Merchandise Stores

5311 Department Stores

$173,076,181

5331 Variety Stores

$15,499,739

5399 Misc. General Merchandise Stores

$10,990,762

Total for Major Group 53

$199,566,682

54 Food Stores

5411 Grocery Stores

$94,426,743

5421 Meat & Fish Markets

$2,354,661

5431 Fruit & Vegetable Markets

$651,344

5441 Candy, Nut, & Confectionery Stores

$464,714

5451 Dairy Products Stores

$208,910

5461 Retail Bakeries

$903,376

5499 Misc. Food Stores

$3,112,495

Total for Major Group 54

$102,122,243

55 Automotive Dealers & Service Stations

5511 New & Used Car Dealers

$14,948,866

5521 Used Car Dealers

$667,470

5531 Auto & Home Supply Stores

$16,937,287

5541 Gasoline Service Stations

$20,430,852

5551 Boat Dealers

$604,020

5561 Recreational Vehicle Dealers

$553,025

5571 Motorcycle Dealers

$4,381,077

5599 Automotive Dealers, not elsewhere classified

$864,679

Total for Major Group 55

$59,387,275

56 Apparel & Accessory Stores

5611 Men's & Boys' Clothing Stores

$2,185,257

5621 Women's Clothing Stores

$6,459,841

5632 Women's Accessory & Specialty Stores

$2,196,189

5641 Children's & Infants' Wear Stores

$623,319

5651 Family Clothing Stores

$20,083,542

5661 Shoe Stores

$3,202,021

5699 Misc. Apparel & Accessory Stores

$2,098,098

Total for Major Group 56

$36,848,267

57 Furniture & Homefurnishings Stores

5712 Furniture Stores

$17,469,213

5713 Floor Covering Stores

$4,075,953

5714 Drapery & Upholstery Stores

$352,786

5719 Misc. Homefurnishings Stores

$3,742,922

5722 Household Appliance Stores

$12,565,491

5731 Radio, TV, & Electronic Stores

$22,973,912

5734 Computer & Software Stores

$8,737,201

5735 Record & Prerecorded Tape Stores

$954,621

5736 Musical Instrument Stores

$1,193,244

Total for Major Group 57

$72,065,344

58 Eating & Drinking Places

5812 Eating Places

$63,962,544

5813 Drinking Places

$17,185,419

Total for Major Group 58

$81,147,963

59 Miscellaneous Retail

5912 Drug Stores & Proprietary Stores

$7,037,747

5921 Liquor Stores

$7,486,919

5932 Used Merchandise Stores

$4,410,507

5941 Sporting Goods & Bicycle Shops

$17,622,535

5942 Book Stores

$5,677,288

5943 Stationery Stores

$8,535,052

5944 Jewelry Stores

$12,536,929

5945 Hobby, Toy, & Game Shops

$5,818,697

5946 Camera & Photographic Supply Stores

$375,446

5947 Gift, Novelty, & Souvenir Shops

$10,050,822

5948 Luggage & Leather Goods Stores

$104,970

5949 Sewing, Needlework, & Piece Goods

$965,332

5961 Catalog & Mail-Order Houses

$6,522,045

5962 Merchandising Machine Operators

$1,418,909

5963 Direct Selling Establishments

$5,905,483

5983 Fuel Oil Dealers

$4,127,613

5984 Liquefied Petroleum Gas Dealers

$5,086,927

5989 Fuel Dealers, not elsewhere classified

$78,399

5992 Florists

$2,092,633

5993 Tobacco Stores & Stands

$1,290,619

5994 News Dealers & Newsstands

$24,284

5995 Optical Goods Stores

$85,841

5999 Misc. Retail Stores, not elsewhere classified

$69,425,578

Total for Major Group 59

$176,680,575

Total for Retail Trade Division

$813,050,732

Source: SD Department of Revenue and Regulation

Sioux Falls and Rapid City continue to account for nearly half of the state’s taxable sales dollars due to their larger populations and the wider variety of shopping opportunities. Many shoppers travel there to shop at stores that exist nowhere else in the state. Table 4 shows the 2006 holiday retail trade sales for South Dakota’s top 10 cities.

Table 3
South Dakota
Taxable Sales - Retail Trade
for SD's Top 10 Cities
Returns Filed January 2007, Reflecting December 2006 Sales

Taxable Sales

% of Statewide Total

Sioux Falls

$245,404,299

30%

Rapid City

$137,445,851

17%

Aberdeen

$43,869,226

5%

Watertown

$37,715,888

5%

Mitchell

$29,818,642

4%

Brookings

$23,788,119

3%

Yankton

$20,898,941

3%

Pierre

$20,602,905

3%

Spearfish

$16,940,198

2%

Huron

$13,983,760

2%

Statewide Total

$813,050,732

 

Source: SD Dept. of Revenue and Regulation

With the passing of the holiday shopping season, it is not a surprise that consumers modify their spending habits. With credit card bills coming in and with everyday debt a continuing reality, they once again tighten their purse strings. Following the hustle and bustle and the onslaught of retail marketing efforts, retail trade in South Dakota decreased nearly 30 percent (see Tables 2 and 3) after both the 2005 and 2006 holiday spending seasons.

We now have less than a year to recover from the whirlwind of 2007 holiday spending. Will the marketers create yet another shopping holiday before the 2008 season swings into view? Who knows?

What will they think of next? 

?

If you have questions or need more information, contact Hayley Hilton of the Labor Market Information Center at (605) 626-2314 or e-mail her at hayley.hilton@state.sd.us.