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South Dakota nonfarm worker levels continue on accelerating growth trend

This article was published in the February 2007 South Dakota e-Labor Bulletin.

South Dakota Statewide Nonfarm Worker Trends

All data is given in annual averages of non-seasonally adjusted data.

South Dakota statewide total nonfarm employment grew by 9,000 workers (or 2.3 percent) from 2005 to 2006 and continues on an accelerating growth trend. South Dakota has been doing quite well compared to the United States, as the national benchmarked estimates show a 1.8 percent annualized growth rate in 2006.

South Dakota Nonfarm Wage & Salaried Workers by Industry

Industry

2005 Annual Average

2006 Annual Average

Absolute Change

Percent Change

Total Nonfarm

389,800

398,800

9,000

2.3%

Natural Resources & Mining

900

900

0

0.0%

Construction

21,000

22,000

1,000

4.8%

Manufacturing

39,800

41,500

1,700

4.3%

Wholesale Trade

17,600

18,300

700

4.0%

Retail Trade

49,300

49,300

0

0.0%

Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities

12,100

12,700

600

5.0%

Information

6,800

7,000

200

2.9%

Financial Activities

28,500

29,600

1,100

3.9%

Professional & Business Services

24,500

25,500

1,000

4.1%

Educational & Health Services

57,400

58,600

1,200

2.1%

Leisure & Hospitality

41,700

42,500

800

1.9%

Other Services (except Public Administration)

15,500

15,600

100

0.6%

Government

75,000

75,100

100

0.1%

Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding.

Source: Labor Market Information Center, South Dakota Department of Labor, February 2007

Worker growth in South Dakota was disbursed among several industries. Construction grew by 1,000 workers (or 4.8 percent) from 2005 to 2006; this growth has definitely been affected by population shifts within the state. These shifts have had an impact on sustained construction activity, with the movement in population affecting the demand for new housing and businesses.

Manufacturing grew by 1,700 workers (or 4.3 percent) and produced a 2006 average level of 41,500 workers.  Although some of the growth was centered in the metropolitan areas, the majority of the growth (1,400 workers) was dispersed throughout the rest of the state.  South Dakota’s statewide manufacturing recovery started in January 2004 and still continues, but the worker level has not reached the previous high of 44,200 in 1999. In comparison, the national estimates have not shown annualized growth since 1998.

Transportation, warehousing and utilities added 600 workers (or 5.0 percent).  Railroads, warehousing and storage, and truck transportation added a majority of the worker gains. Record high fuel prices in 2006 did not seem to curtail the need to transport goods for the goods producing industries and for the retail and wholesale trade industries that sold those goods. 

Worker levels in the financial activities industry grew by 1,100 workers (or 3.9 percent).  In the 1990s, financial activities was one of South Dakota’s fastest growing industries. The growth was a result of banking reform laws that eased competition restrictions while allowing institutions to expand their financial services. During the 1990s and into 2001, the industry enjoyed over a 60 percent increase in workers. As with most rapidly expanding industries, major mergers and reorganizations started taking place, which basically stagnated worker growth from 2002 to 2004.  Worker numbers started climbing once again in 2005 and 2006.

Professional and business services added 1,000 workers (or 4.1 percent) and produced its second consecutive annualized gain since 2000. The recession that took place in 2001 lowered the demand for many of the services this industry provides to other businesses. The increase in worker levels for this industry indicate South Dakota’s economy is doing well. Some services in this industry include legal, accounting, architectural, engineering, management, scientific and technical consulting services.

Education and health services increased by 1,200 workers (or 2.1 percent). About 500 of the worker gain came from private education, as educational institutions continued to evolve programs to provide skilled workers demanded by the labor market. (Note: public education is coded under government.) The health care and social services industry increased by 700 workers and is continuing a lengthy growth trend. South Dakota health care has been a growth industry since data was first recorded in 1972. This growth trend has continued for several reasons, including continued population growth, the advance of technology and new medical discoveries that enhance or extend human life. Another reason for continued worker growth is people are living longer, which corresponds to the need for increased health care services.

Leisure and hospitality grew by 800 workers (or 1.9 percent), continuing a growth trend now five years long. Even during the 2001 recession, leisure and hospitality employment remained stable. The continued growth of the leisure and hospitality industry correlates to spending related to tourism, as well the popularity of dining out or ‘driving thru” for a take home dinner.

South Dakota wholesale trade worker levels increased by 700 workers (or 4.0 percent). Employment increased primarily from employment gains in agents and brokers who sell wholesale goods. Employment in the information super sector increased by 200 workers (or 2.9 percent), with the worker increase focused in the telecommunications industry. Other services and government each showed a modest 100 worker increase from 2005 to 2006.

The number of workers in natural resources and mining and retail trade remained stable during this time period. Retail trade had a turbulent year in 2006, with this sector showing over-the-year losses from February through August, but strong employment gains from October through December. National retail employment showed a small annualized gain in 2006, but monthly estimates show over-the-year employment losses started occurring in July 2006 and still continue in 2007.

The Rapid City Metropolitan Statistical Area (RCMSA) Nonfarm Worker Trends

Rapid City MSA total nonfarm employment grew by 800 workers (or 1.3 percent) from 2005 to 2006. The annualized growth rate for this area has held steady since 2004. The Rapid City MSA is unique in the fact it capitalizes on visitors more so than the rest of the state, which is why the MSA has a high percent of workers in the retail trade and leisure and hospitality.

Rapid City MSA Nonfarm Wage & Salaried Workers by Industry
(Meade and Pennington Counties)

Industry

2005 Annual Average

2006 Annual Average

Absolute Change

Percent Change

Total Nonfarm

59,500

60,300

800

1.3%

Natural Resources and Construction

4,900

4,900

0

0.0%

Manufacturing

3,800

3,700

-100

-2.6%

Wholesale Trade

2,200

2,100

-100

-4.5%

Retail Trade

8,700

8,700

0

0.0%

Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities

1,900

2,000

100

5.3%

Information

1,100

1,100

0

0.0%

Financial Activities

3,400

3,600

200

5.9%

Professional & Business Services

4,100

4,400

300

7.3%

Educational & Health Services

8,900

8,900

0

0.0%

Leisure & Hospitality

8,200

8,400

200

2.4%

Other Services (except Public Administration)

2,600

2,600

0

0.0%

Government

9,800

9,900

100

1.0%

Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding.

Source: Labor Market Information Center, South Dakota Department of Labor, February 2007

The Sioux Falls Metropolitan Statistical Area (SFMSA) Nonfarm Worker Trends

The Sioux Falls MSA total nonfarm employment grew by 3,600 workers (or 2.9 percent) from 2005 to 2006. The rate of worker growth for the Sioux Falls MSA outpaced statewide, the Rapid City MSA and the balance of state area. Population shifts have been most favorable to the Sioux Falls MSA and caused many service and goods producing industries to add workers just to keep pace with demand. Most industries in the Sioux Falls MSA exhibited annualized growth from 2005 to 2006.

Sioux Falls MSA Nonfarm Wage & Salaried Workers by Industry
(Lincoln, Minnehaha, McCook & Turner Counties)

Industry

2005 Annual Average

2006 Annual Average

Absolute Change

Percent Change

Total Nonfarm

125,800

129,400

3,600

2.9%

Natural Resources and Construction

7,400

7,800

400

5.4%

Manufacturing

12,700

13,100

400

3.1%

Wholesale Trade

6,400

6,700

300

4.7%

Retail Trade

16,200

16,200

0

0.0%

Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities

4,700

5,000

300

6.5%

Information

2,900

3,000

100

3.4%

Financial Activities

15,400

15,800

400

2.6%

Professional & Business Services

9,400

10,000

600

6.4%

Educational & Health Services

22,500

22,900

400

1.8%

Leisure & Hospitality

12,100

12,600

500

4.1%

Other Services (except Public Administration)

4,500

4,600

100

2.2%

Government

11,600

11,700

100

0.9%

Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding.

Source: Labor Market Information Center, South Dakota Department of Labor, February 2007

Balance of State Nonfarm Worker Trends

The balance of state area is comprised of all counties in the state not designated as MSA counties, which includes all counties in South Dakota except Pennington, Meade, Lincoln, Minnehaha, McCook and Turner Counties. The balance of state data allows one to see how industries are doing in the more rural areas of South Dakota.

The balance of state total nonfarm employment grew by 4,600 workers (or 2.2 percent) from 2005 to 2006 and produced its third year of growth. Natural resources and mining, manufacturing, wholesale trade and financial activities produced the largest percentage gains while government showed the only loss.  The work growth for the balance of state area was strong and spread over multiple industries, which helps rural communities to prosper.

Balance of State*
Nonfarm Wage & Salaried Workers by Industry

Industry

2005 Annual Average

2006 Annual Average

Absolute Change

Percent Change

Total Nonfarm

204,500

209,100

4,600

2.2%

Natural Resources and Construction

9,600

10,200

600

6.3%

Manufacturing

23,300

24,700

1,400

6.0%

Wholesale Trade

9,000

9,500

500

5.6%

Retail Trade

24,400

24,400

0

0.0%

Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities

5,500

5,700

200

3.6%

Information

2,800

2,900

100

3.6%

Financial Activities

9,700

10,200

500

5.2%

Professional & Business Services

11,000

11,100

100

0.9%

Educational & Health Services

26,000

26,800

800

3.1%

Leisure & Hospitality

21,400

21,500

100

0.5%

Other Services (except Public Administration)

8,400

8,400

0

0.0%

Government

53,600

53,500

-100

-0.2%

*Balance of State includes all counties of South Dakota except those included in the Metropolitan Statistical Areas (Pennington, Meade, Lincoln, Minnehaha, McCook & Turner counties).

Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding.

Source: Labor Market Information Center, South Dakota Department of Labor, February 2007

The source of nonfarm wage and salaried worker data

Nonfarm wage and salaried worker data produced by the the Labor Marker Information Center is based on the monthly Current Employment Statistics (CES) estimates. South Dakota establishments in more than a dozen different core industries and numerous sub-industries are surveyed through the CES program. The program is a federal-state cooperative one, which each individual state has been a part of since the program started in 1939.

The federal partner is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which provides funding, guidelines and support to all states so estimated and historical employment, hours and earnings data can be computed and maintained for each individual state and at a national level. (Click here to see national CES data).Since all states use the same BLS guidelines to maintain historical data and produce nonfarm worker estimates, all data is comparable. (Click here to see all States' CES data).

Analysis of worker trends has been established as one of the best ways to gauge a state’s (or individual industry’s) economic health. The logic is simple and has stood the test of time: businesses typically hire when their goods or services are in demand and reduce worker numbers as demand for their goods or services decline. That is why the CES survey is one of the most watched and used time series and current economic indicators out there.

On an annual basis, state and national estimates are benchmarked (revised) using data from other sources not available at the time of estimation and publication. These sources track actual employment counts and are used to revise estimated data. Please note 2005 and 2006 nonfarm wage and salaried worker data was recently benchmarked, and the revised estimates replace previously published nonfarm worker data. Thanks to the constant reporting of the surveyed establishments, South Dakota estimated total nonfarm data had only small percentage revisions.

? If you have questions or need more information, contact Tom Leonhardt of the Labor Market Information Center at (605) 626-2314 or by e-mail at tom.leonhardt@state.sd.us. .